Tuesday, very bad day for Indian investors. People lost their hard-earned money. I am sure many must have given a call to hospitals to send a Ambulance to pick them up. Things were really not understandable why suddenly people panicked so much that they started cashing out their portfolios on the half of the price they bought. There was not change in Indian economy, there is no change in technicals or fundamentals of most of the companies at least in last 2 days, then why market doomed was kissing 1000 or 2000 points below the level on these days.
Few reasons what I can understand for this Doomsday Conspiracy may be:
Future Capital & Reliance Power IPO
Things started worsening on the same day when Future Capital IPO was scheduled to close & Reliance made the things even worse by sucking out more then INR 100,000 crores from the market.
Global Cues
Though it’s difficult to understand how suddenly things became so worse in the global market that it pulled down each other. Though there was always a fear of recession in US economy but it was not the trigger at least this time for this global downturn.
Very high valuations of the companies listed in Indian Equity
Though talking about first two points, I don’t understand why these trade Gurus & Analysts are overlooking third point which is also equally important as first two. Its not only Indian equity, but other Asian equities also on the verge of over-heating, but the sentiments had been so strongly positive that people were buying on those levels also which they could see in their dreams only.
Now what:
Few things which can give new breath of life to Indian equity are:
Fed Cut:
Mr. Ben Barnanke, did the same what we’re expecting. He injected enough liquidity to the market by cutting Federal Rate by 75 basis points, biggest in past 23 years American economy. This will definitely boost the moral of the market at least in short-term.
IPOs' Listing:
Those IPOs which sucked the money out of market can give new life to market, when people will start getting their refunds. From Indian perspective, the listing of these scrips especially Reliance Power will be a most important event of the Indian economy in recent past & near future.
In my understanding, Markets has got bottomed out. Things do not look any mmore gloomier from here because at lest two out of three reasons mentioned above (Global Cues & valuations), should be the biggest strength of the market now after enough liquidity (because of Fed-rate cut) has been injected & valuations should not be expected any better.
Hope today will be different then last two days, & once again we’ll able to see the smile on the investors’ faces.
Will this make any impact on Hospital’s business, because if market booms, nobody will call Ambulance? :-)